Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.394733 0.523248 0.671210 0.851673 1.063352 1.301406 1.586944
2025-10-26 0.204653 0.349058 0.542510 0.808976 1.154999 1.578271 2.124008
2025-11-02 0.110852 0.250556 0.469280 0.806072 1.282222 1.903975 2.749138
2025-11-09 0.052801 0.170500 0.390854 0.770967 1.352897 2.157718 3.301349
2025-11-16 0.029115 0.134797 0.367293 0.806790 1.520944 2.549817 4.056928
2025-11-23 0.013306 0.099771 0.329523 0.807663 1.631555 2.865178 4.723227
2025-11-30 0.007203 0.085224 0.326932 0.866886 1.836107 3.325463 5.610103
2025-12-07 0.003179 0.069593 0.314407 0.903079 2.003454 3.737162 6.443081
2025-12-14 0.000960 0.053758 0.292807 0.915203 2.128192 4.087788 7.198796
2025-12-21 0.000106 0.038190 0.261599 0.898797 2.198327 4.354036 7.837415
2025-12-28 0.000001 0.029356 0.246339 0.913561 2.323755 4.710893 8.619896
2026-01-04 NaN 0.021556 0.228175 0.916563 2.425419 5.031629 9.355516
2026-01-11 NaN 0.013332 0.198276 0.883954 2.457794 5.244800 9.942666
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007999 0.174251 0.859887 2.503548 5.481409 10.573403
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005296 0.162325 0.867026 2.612930 5.829888 11.388530
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002602 0.140009 0.835145 2.635782 6.028465 11.971215
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001949 0.139859 0.875669 2.818315 6.513003 13.021496
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001042 0.129484 0.877957 2.915598 6.848991 13.840023
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000906 0.135582 0.941406 3.154997 7.446483 15.093576
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000619 0.135106 0.980103 3.339691 7.950038 16.203427
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000305 0.128403 0.993131 3.465436 8.349859 17.151247
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000076 0.115220 0.975864 3.517971 8.616552 17.885157
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000021 0.110252 0.991544 3.649909 9.032949 18.873162